Blog Entry

NFL Power Rankings 11/3

Posted on: November 3, 2009 6:28 pm
 

The only way to get a unbiased ranking system is to do it by math. Finding the correct formula is hard the hard part. I've been working on this one that combines points scored/allowed, yards gained/allowed, 3rd down %(both offense and defense), and record(times 3); with all of these being compared to the rest of the teams. 


1. New England Patriots - perhaps the big wins over tenn and tb have them a little too high but they are solid and playing great

2. New Orleans Saints- They've had big wins over good teams and its not just the offense getting it done, schedule looks easy rest of the way

3. Indianapolis Colts- a close win over the niners, now lets see how they fare against houston, a win and the division is locked up

4. Minnesota Vikings- Favre Peterson and that d line, mixed with young talent this team looks in control. Now they get a week 9 bye to rest up for the 2nd half of the season

5. Denver Broncos- they've been getting the job done against good teams, esp in the 2nd half. everyone is still trying to get a gauge on them, pittsburgh should tell more

6. Baltimore Ravens- at 4-3 they won when they had to now let's see if they can make some noise in the division

7. New York Giants- losers of 3 straight, of course those teams were the saints, Cardinals, and Eagles. Next up SD, lets see if that secondary is any better.

8. Philadelphia Eagles- big game vs Dallas for early control of the nfc east after taking out the giants.

9. Dallas Cowboys- Tony Romo 8 td's 0 int's in last 3 games(kc, atl, sea) something tells me that will change this week

10. Green Bay Packers- 10 looks high for this team but its really not, 2 losses came against minnesota

11. Pittsburgh Steelers- come off their bye to play at denver, Troy's health down the stretch is key

12. Houston Texans- Can the darkhorse kick off the colt?

13. Cincinnati Bengals- they have been solid, a win against baltimore would bode well

14. New York Jets- go into the bye at 4-4, if they want a sniff at the playoffs they need to take at least 5 most likely 6-7 of the next 8

15. San Diego Chargers- alright its the second half the season time to start playing or Turner is gone. Must win at New York after the giants have dropped 3 in a row, can you say unhill

16. Arizona Cardinals- are 4-3 going to play the Bears, should be a close game with the loser's playoff chances taking a blow

17. Miami Dolphins- well they can beat the jets, a trip to New England looks mighty difficult

18. Chicago Bears- time for cutler to show he was worth the trade

19. Atlanta Falcons- the division race is over, time to look at the wild card, focus on winning games and the rest will take care of itself
 
20. Carolina Panthers- can they pull off the 10+ points underdog upsets in back to back weeks, unlikely. The hard schedule is taking its toll

21. Washington Redskins- the D is great(ranked 5th, my ranking have them 3rd) hard to believe they haven't lost by more than 10 though with that inept offense

22. San Francisco 49ers- they are only a game out of the division and has 2 close losses in the same number of weeks, a win at home against tennessee is needed

23. Seattle Seahawks- that wasn't pretty in Dallas, this team needs to rebuild, time to draft a qb and a left tackle, along with a secondary.

24. Jacksonville Jaguars- that was ugly against tennessee, time for a bounce-back week against KC

25. Buffalo Bills- go into the bye at 3-5 wondering what happened in the 4th quarter. Hey TO got a TD

26. Detroit Lions- they need Calvin Johnson on the field, its hard enough for them to win anyway but without him its impossible

27. Tennessee Titans- They found a W(which was figurable after the bye) and revenged the loss the jags put on them earlier this season. They found the runnning game, lets see how Fisher had them prepared for the trip to the west coast. The qb wasn't the difference but a change was needed after how the season has gone.

28. Oakland Raiders- Bye week, hey they can't lose. I vaguely remember a defensive player saying they would make the playoffs, perhaps he thought he was still a patriot

29. Kansas city Chiefs- A winable game this week vs jacksonville, jobs are in jepordy, and don't just blame twitter

30. St Louis Rams- snapped that 17 game losing streak just in time for the bye. An extra week before they can start a new streak...

31. Tampa Bay Buccaneers- here comes another blowout, i say they don't win a game this year, the schedule has a lot to do with it but so did the coaching and qb and linebacker changes this offseason, this team was destined to fail.

32. Cleveland Browns- why did they bring this team back? wholesale changes are needed
 

Category: NFL
Comments

Since: Jan 24, 2012
Posted on: January 24, 2012 4:24 pm
 

NFL Power Rankings 11/3

The first 10 6 teams ae out of order.  I think it should go: New Orleans Saints, Minnesota Vikings, Indianaplis Colts, Denver Broncos, Philadelphia Eagles, an then the New England Patriots.

I thought NE, GB, Baltimore, and the giants got too much love. The Bengals didn't get enough and neither did Atlanta but besides those 6 teams mentioned i believe it was a good gauge on the league.

Next week look for the same but the addition of Schedule difficulty to the point played which will be done by record which should even help even things out for teams who have played inferior opponents.

again done strickly by math, I know the pats are too high and teams should be switched by head to head match-ups but this is strickly math based. I will figure more for record next week then if there are any teams close that have played each other i will mix them. Again this is what it wold look like comparing stats for the teams with the record accounted for as well.



Since: Sep 25, 2006
Posted on: November 5, 2009 11:09 am
 

NFL Power Rankings 11/3

I would say Saints, Colts, Vikings are the top 3 in that order.  Broncos, eagles, and pats you can mix them anyway you like I would have the eagles 6th just cause the losses, and Denver and the pats could go either way, sure the broncos beat them but in overtime when they played from behind the whole game at home, power rankings are meant to be at a neutral site.

I thought NE, GB, Baltimore, and the giants got too much love. The Bengals didn't get enough and neither did Atlanta but besides those 6 teams mentioned i believe it was a good gauge on the league.

This formula assigned points compared to the league:

Offensive/Defensive PPG
Offensive/Defensive yds/gm
Offensive/Defensive 3rd down eff
Record(times 3) *tied records seperated by net points


Next week look for the same but the addition of Schedule difficulty to the point played which will be done by record which should even help even things out for teams who have played inferior opponents.

I would like to add in injuries but math seems difficult because i would have to go down the roster of each team(not just stars) and create a point system that left the team with a percentage of health that could be correlated to the rest of the league. Problem is different positions/players have a different role/value on each team. Needless to say I don't get paid to waste that much time on this



 



Since: Sep 25, 2006
Posted on: November 5, 2009 10:52 am
 

NFL Power Rankings 11/3

again done strickly by math, I know the pats are too high and teams should be switched by head to head match-ups but this is strickly math based. I will figure more for record next week then if there are any teams close that have played each other i will mix them. Again this is what it wold look like comparing stats for the teams with the record accounted for as well.



Since: Jul 27, 2008
Posted on: November 3, 2009 10:51 pm
 

NFL Power Rankings 11/3

The first 10 6 teams ae out of order.  I think it should go: New Orleans Saints, Minnesota Vikings, Indianaplis Colts, Denver Broncos, Philadelphia Eagles, an then the New England Patriots.




Since: Sep 12, 2008
Posted on: November 3, 2009 9:08 pm
 

NFL Power Rankings 11/3

Heh....what a joke of a power ranking.


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